One of the biggest assets for a starting pitcher is to maintain composure when facing adversity, and that is not a skill that Will Warren has fully developed yet. Perhaps the biggest knock on the young pitcher is the way he lets innings spiral when something goes wrong, particularly when his defense makes an error behind him. Indeed, a misplay between Anthony Volpe and Ben Rice on a routine groundball to open the fifth led to Warren quickly unraveling and allowing four runs in the frame — already the third time in 15 starts that he has allowed at least three runs to score in an inning following an error. You just don’t give your team a chance to win the game when you implode at the first sign of trouble, and indeed the Yankees couldn’t claw back this deficit as they fell to the Reds, 10-2.
You always want to score early for your starting pitcher and Paul Goldschmidt has made something of a habit of doing so in the first inning lately. He stayed through a 2-2 four-seamer on the outer half from Andrew Abbott and lined it to the opposite field over the wall in right for his 12th home run in 50 games this year after managing just 10 all of last season in nearly three times as many.
The last week has been ridden with metal errors for José Caballero and that only continued today. After walking and stealing second, Caballero was picked off to end the second inning. It’s the fifth time he’s been picked off this year, which is second-most in the majors. There’s really no benefit to taking such an aggressive lead off second with two outs as any base hit from Volpe would have scored him anyway, and it’s just another example of Caballero not understanding the situation.
From the jump, Warren looked noticeably sharper than in his previous handful of starts. A lot of his recent stumbles have come from failing to put guys away after getting to two strikes, and early on, he found a workable adjustment from his previous outing. He struck out the side in the first, the first two batters on wicked sinkers that Warren aims at the lefty batter’s box and allows the foot-and-a-half of arm-side movement to carry it back to the edge of the strike zone. He tallied another on the same type of pitch in the second to navigate around a Nathaniel Lowe double. I’d like to see him trust his pair of breaking balls and changeup more in two-strike counts and not have to rely on in-zone fastballs to punch guys out. However, this is certainly a roadmap for success for one turn through the order, and hopefully the second and third times through, guys will be fearful of that called strike sinker which should magnify the chase potential of his off-speed pitches.
Unfortunately, Warren couldn’t maintain this effectiveness into the third. He surrendered a double to Edwin Arroyo and walked Blake Dunn with one out, and his defense let him down a bit, as despite a nice catch from Jasson Domínguez in right, he made the decision to throw to third too quickly, missing a chance to double up Arroyo too far off of second. That would’ve ended the inning; instead, both runners came around to score on a two-out double to the wall in left by Sal Stewart and Cincy was in front, 2-1.
In the fourth, Arroyo reached on a missed-catch error by Rice after Volpe lawn-darted a throw to first on about as routine a grounder as you could ask for, though Rice absolutely should have gloved it.
JJ Bleday followed with a double to right to put runners on second and third with one out for Stewart, who continued to account for all of the Reds’ runs with a sac fly to left to make it 3-1, Cincinnati.
The implosion only accelerated from there. Warren walked Lowe on five pitches before serving up a middle-middle 2-1 sinker to Spencer Steer that the first baseman crushed over the wall in left for a three-run homer and a 6-1 Cincy lead.
It’s amazing how different a pitcher Warren looks with no one on vs. when there is traffic on the basepaths. He loses all precision with the fastball, and it’s just not a good enough pitch stuff-wise to become wild in the zone. It makes me wonder whether the issues stem from Warren pitching out of the stretch rather than the windup, or whether it is more a mental response to having to navigate a stressful situation. He was allowed to go back out for the sixth and got two quick outs, but served up a pair of singles to Arroyo and Dunn, forcing Aaron Boone out of the dugout to call on Tim Hill to face the lefty Bleday. Bleday put a charge into a ball to left, but Caballero made a stunning sprinting catch in the gap to save two runs and cap off Warren’s final line at six runs (two earned) on eight hits and two walks with eight strikeouts in 5.2 innings.
The Yankees gave themselves plenty of chances to get back into the game, but unlike the Reds, they could never find that killer hit with runners on. They loaded the bases in the fifth on consecutive one-out singles from Volpe and Ali Sánchez followed by a two out Amed Rosario walk, but Goldschmidt struck out looking on a 3-2 backdoor sweeper that he unsuccessfully challenged to leave them with no more ABS challenges for the rest of the game. They put another pair on with no outs after Cody Bellinger and Domínguez smacked a pair of singles to open the sixth, but back-to-back popups by Caballero and Jazz Chisholm Jr. and a Volpe can of corn stranded them in place. That allowed Abbott to complete five-plus innings of one run ball, meaning he has held the Yankees to one run in both his career starts against them.
By the time the eighth inning rolled around it was time to wave the white flag and get a body in there to eat the final two innings. Ryan Yarbrough proved why he is reserved for this role, giving up singles to Matt McClain, Arroyo and Dunn to load the bases for Stewart, whose two-out double into the left-center gap cleared the bases and gave him six RBIs on the day. Pinch-hitter Dane Myers followed with a double of his own to plate Stewart and make it 10-1 Reds.
In the bottom of the eighth, Bellinger and Domínguez again led off an inning with a pair of singles, Jasson’s two base knocks batting right-handed further proof of his improvements to that part of his game. Caballero hit an RBI groundout to plate Bellinger and a throwing error from Arroyo allowed him to advance to second, but Jazz and Volpe couldn’t bring him home.
It was a little surprising to see super utilityman Max Schuemann pitch the ninth rather than let Yarbrough soak up the final frame. However, he pitched a scoreless ninth in his first major league pitching appearance, which is better than Warren or Yarbrough can say today. The offense went down quietly in the ninth to bring an end to a humbling 10-2 loss, the bats going 0-for-13 with runners in scoring position and stranding 10.
The Yankees still have a chance to win four out of four series on this long homestand tomorrow afternoon. It was originally supposed to be a marquee matchup in the rubber game with Gerrit Cole taking on Chase Burns, but after today’s game, Aaron Boone announced that Cole and the rest of his starters will get an extra day of rest, with No. 45 moving back to Monday to face Detroit instead. Elmer Rodríguez will come up from Triple-A to face Burns. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm ET with the broadcast remaining on YES.
